Wimbledon: Mondays Best Bets

Sunday, June 26, 2011

After a rain-affected first week at SW19 its down to the serious business of week 2 at the All England Club and the temperature is rising on and off the court.

All eyes will be on Andy Murray, first up on Centre Court, as he bids to secure a berth in the quarter finals. Hell have it tough against Richard Gasquet but should have enough in his locker to progress at the Frenchmans expense. Odds of 2/9 (Bet365) arent for me however.

The other big three should also make it smoothly through to Wednesday, with Nadal looking the most likely to have to go beyond three sets against Del Potro. Back him to win a four-setter at 5/2 (Bet365, Paddy Power).

Here are a few other games that catch the eye from a betting perspective

Bernard Tomic v Xavier Malisse

The young Australian has had a fantastic couple of weeks that has seen him rise to number one slot in his home country ahead of Lleyton Hewitt. Since negotiating 3 qualifying rounds hes seen off players ranked 27th, 79th and 5th in the world, not bad for an 18-year-old who came into the tournament in a lowly 158 rank himself. Its now 11 wins from 14 in a matter of weeks on the grass and his confidence must be sky-high, particularly after disposing of an admittedly under-the-weather Robin Soderling in straight sets on Friday.

His opponent Xavier Malisse also enjoyed a good first week at Wimbledon but hes been a habitual one-weeker in previous years. His semi-final appearance here in 2003 is the only time hes made it to the last 8 in a slam event and his record on the grass in London since reads like a DJ testing his mic (1, 4, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1, 3).

Both men are on the cusp of one ! of their best tournament performances but Id rather be on the emerging talent of Tomic than back a player who hasnt cut here in the past.

Marion Bartoli v Serena Williams

Serena Williams remains my pick for the womens title but shes not had it all her own way so far. Shes dropped a set in 2 of her 3 matches to date as she feels her way back to full fitness. She remains the powerhouse that has seen her dominate this tournament along with her sister but shes far from 100%.

In Marion Bartoli she faces a former Wimbledon finalist and winner of the warm-up event at Eastbourne and if theres to be an upset in Round 4 it might just be found on COurt Number one. The Frenchwoman is 7/2 (Sportingbet) to upset the odds.

But it would be foolish to bet against either of the Williams sisters at their favourite tournament and so I expect Serena to win a tough test over three sets.



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